Sports Betting as an Investment
Systematic plays for disciplined sports investors
Michael Gibbons' Sports is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. I handicap sports based upon my proprietary handicapping systems, situational pattern analysis, conditional probability gaming theory, and contrary opinion.
In addition to being a sports handicapper, I am also a highly respected stock, bond, currency and futures trader. I am quoted in many top financial publications including Timer Digest and Forbes. I won the highly prestigious Timer Digest Timer of the Year award in 2002/2007/2008 as well as the world's #1 Long Term Market Timer for the past 5 years as monitored by Timer Digest. My clients have billions of dollars in assets under management. I have outperformed several hundred of the world's greatest investment minds on a consistent basis. I bring the same kind of analysis to the world of sports investing. Many professional and amateur sports investors in Las Vegas, the nation, and the world, rely on me for my sports plays, research and information.
I have a BA in Economics from California State University Long Beach. I worked for several large corporations as cost controller and head of finance. My interest changed to markets after my corporate experience, where my unconventional methods and original thinking could be better applied. I was a pioneer in technical market analysis and was one of the first to discover stock index arbitrage in the early 1980s. I was a financial broker and owned my own brokerage firm. In addition, I was one of the first registered commodity trading advisors. I have long background in probability theory and statistics, and my stock screen/trading model is considered by many of my clients to be the best in the world. I was asked by several of my clients to apply my methods to sports betting twelve years ago. After a doing intensive research, it was clear that sports betting was highly profitable if done properly. Sports betting should be viewed as a viable investment class as evidenced by the fact that it is a way to diversify holdings and performance is not correlated to other common investments.
Because of my success both in trading financial markets and handicapping sports, I have been interviewed by Forbes reporter John Dobosz seven times over the past five years, and by Timer Digest over three hundred times. My interviews appear on the internet as well as in print editions. How many sports handicappers do you know that have been quoted numerous times by influential financial publications? I can tell you the answer to that question-no one else on the planet.
http://www.forbes.com/2003/01/18/cz_jd_0117adviser.html
I do not gamble-I invest (and there is a huge difference). Investors have a statistical advantage or edge that will always payoff over the long run. Gamblers create risk, because in no way can they obtain a long term edge-that is, probability is always working against them. As an example, craps, roulette, and video poker players are losers because the house has an irrefutable edge in all of these games. Most sports bettors play as if they were gamblers-and they lose many thousands of dollars each year because they simply do not have the knowledge necessary to win. To keep and maintain an edge, I use my proprietary selection systems, contrary opinion, conditional probability, and statistical pattern recognition to forecast game results.
Here is a typical winning day at Gibbons' Sports. This is just one of my tickets for that day (Portland) and because they were a *3* unit play- I bet aggressively. Note I do not limit plays to one or two a day as most amateurs do, but I invest whenever I have an edge. On this day, we had an edge in 11 games and we bet them all. Also observe that I don't have any "big games" or "Games of the Year" as most of these so-called handicappers promote. We grind it out day after day and win on a consistent basis.
(all records include vigorish)
We average 205.3 units profit per year
This is $20,530 a year income for a $100 bettor and $205,300 for a $1000 bettor
I do two things you will not find anywhere else- I win long term and I fully disclose performance both on a daily and historical basis
Results for 7/28:
+.39 units
MLB +24.86 units this season
+128.06 units L308
+2,464.51 units last 12 years
Why do you think many of our clients are professional sports bettors, sports books, and hedge funds?
"Winning isn't everything. It's the only thing."
-"Red" Sanders-
**Prices below are discounted to current subscribers**
Two month trial subscription
$900.00
One year subscription
$3,500.00
Subscribers receive my plays by email and can have plays sent to a maximum of two (2) email addresses. We accept credit cards, bank transfers, debit cards and more. If you want to mail us a check, click on the contact us button below and tell us you want to subscribe. We will then provide you with mailing instructions, etc.
As a Gibbons' Sports subscriber, you receive my
plays in the following sports:Major League Baseball
College and NBA Basketball
College and NFL Football
NHL
In addition, you are given our Money Management Program which consists of the exact number of units to play and the percentage of your bankroll to risk each day. You get a complete a complete package of high probability plays and the money management necessary to maximize your profits while limiting risk.
My subscribers (via email) are sent my plays generally four hours or more before the start of the first game. Our objective is to hit a high winning percentage because of our rigid screening process, and then compound the profits geometrically with our Kelly Money Management Program.
We average five (5) plays per day which is eighteen hundred plays per year and my plays are rated 1-5 units each. The higher the number of units- the stronger the play. 1-2 unit plays are standard, 3 unit plays are fairly rare, and 4-5 unit plays are very rare.
If you are looking for one play per day- you are an amateur. Amateurs and most losers look for one or two plays a day while professionals take every play where they have an edge- and that is our philosophy.
There is no such thing as a "lock" or a guaranteed play. Any team can lose at any time- period. Any handicapper that tells you differently is a scam artist. I don't have "locks" or Games of the Week, Month, or anything else. If you cannot accept that winning at sports investing is about being highly disciplined and grinding it out day after day, we don't want you as a client. Most amateur sports bettors have totally unrealistic expectations about rates of return and sustainable winning percentages. If you think any legitimate handicapper can win over 56% against the spread for long periods of time- you are wrong.
Many use chase systems (Martingale/Labourchere) to attempt to recoup losses, when in fact these flawed progressive money management strategies ultimately do nothing but risk a lot to win a little. These sports players are guilty of innumeracy (mathematical illiteracy) and they do not understand that a modified Kelly Criterion is the safest and most profitable way to manage bankrolls.
Gibbons' Sports Risk Disclosure Statement and Disclaimer
It is my opinion that my plays will continue to be profitable over the long run. Those clients that are willing to follow my methods have the opportunity to make a large amount of money. However, since I do not know the future, profitable performance is not guaranteed nor is it implied. Do not infer from anything presented on this site that future performance will be profitable. There is a risk of loss in any investment vehicle-including sports investing.
If you cannot accept occasional losing periods psychologically or financially, you should not be investing in sports or anything else. If you should start with me at an inopportune high Net Unit point, it may take many months to show a profit-if at all. Make certain you want to subscribe before you do, as I do not offer refunds for any reason.
